The women’s race at the 2026 Tokyo Marathon to be staged on 1 March in Tokyo, Japan is shaping up to be one of the deepest and most compelling contests in recent marathon history, blending reigning champions, global major winners, national icons, and seasoned veterans into a single high-stakes showdown.
At the center of the narrative stands Ethiopia’s formidable title defender Sutume Asefa Kebede, who returns to Tokyo chasing a third consecutive victory after dominating the previous two editions and establishing herself as the course record holder.
Kebede’s authority in Tokyo has been built on tactical intelligence and relentless pace control, but her path to another triumph will be far from straightforward. Among the most dangerous challengers is compatriot Hawi Feysa, who finished third in Tokyo last year before ascending to global prominence with victory at the 2025 Chicago Marathon. Her breakthrough confirmed what many suspected — that she possesses the finishing speed and endurance to win on any major stage.
Another major threat comes from Kenya’s Rosemary Wanjiru, the 2025 Berlin Marathon champion, whose consistency at the highest level continues to make her one of the most dependable performers in elite women’s marathoning. With proven championship composure and a powerful late-race surge, Wanjiru enters Tokyo as a genuine title contender capable of disrupting Ethiopian dominance.
The depth extends even further with a wave of major champions from the past two seasons. Ethiopia’s Megertu Alemu, winner in Valencia in 2024, arrives with one of the fastest personal bests in the field, while Bertukan Welde brings confidence from her victory in Prague in 2025. Adding to the Ethiopian strength is Mestawut Fikir, who captured the Paris Marathon crown in 2024, and Waganesh Mekasha, winner of Osaka the same year — further proof of the nation’s extraordinary marathon pipeline.
Yet perhaps the most recognizable name in the field remains Kenya’s Brigid Kosgei, the former world record holder whose 2:14:04 still ranks among the fastest performances ever recorded by a woman. Kosgei’s experience, championship pedigree, and proven ability to handle aggressive pacing make her presence alone a psychological factor for the entire field.
Japan’s hopes will largely rest on Ai Hosoda, currently the nation’s seventh-fastest woman in history. Hosoda produced a career-best 2:20:31 in Berlin in 2024 and recently announced that Tokyo will serve as her farewell race. The emotional weight of competing at home in her final marathon could provide an added dimension of motivation, especially after she secured qualification for the 2028 Olympic Trials with a strong performance in Sydney last year.
Beyond the headline names, the international depth remains impressive. Canada’s Malindi Elmore brings championship experience and resilience, while American veteran Sara Hall continues to defy expectations deep into her career. China fields a strong contingent led by Yuyu Xia, joined by Poland’s Aleksandra Brzezińska and Australia’s Vanessa Wilson, all capable of influencing the race dynamics if conditions or tactics shift.
What makes Tokyo particularly fascinating is the blend of proven speed and competitive hunger. Several athletes own personal bests under 2:18, creating the possibility of a historically fast race if pacing conditions align. But Tokyo is rarely predictable. Weather, pack strategy, and the psychological battle after 35 kilometers often determine the final outcome more than raw times on paper.
As the world turns its attention to Japan’s capital, one question dominates: can Kebede secure a historic three-peat, or will a new champion emerge from one of the strongest women’s marathon fields assembled this season?
SOURCE: MY BEST RUNS
